Lloyds Banking Group has reported a 158% increase in annual pre-tax profits to £4.24bn as a result of a reduction in payment protection insurance (PPI) provisions. Provisions for PPI declined from £4bn to £1bn. However, underlying profits fell to £7.9bn, down from £8.1bn. The UK government’s stake in Lloyds has now fallen below 5% and it has said it wants to return the bank to full private ownership this year. On Tuesday HSBC reported a $7.1bn (£5.7bn) pre-tax profit for 2016, down 62% on the $18.9bn reported a year earlier. The government spent £20.3bn to acquire a 43% stake in Lloyds at the height of the financial crisis.
Shares in HSBC (HSBA.L) have fallen after the bank saw a sharper-than-expected drop in annual profits for 2016. The $7.1bn (£5.7bn) pre-tax profit is 62% lower than the $18.9bn reported a year earlier. HSBC attributed the fall to a string of one-off charges, including the sale of its operations in Brazil. It said its performance had been “broadly satisfactory” given “volatile financial conditions” but warned a rise in global protectionism was a concern. HSBC shares were down by 3.5% in Hong Kong.
Online retail giant Amazon has said it will create 5,000 new full-time jobs in the UK this year. The firm said it was looking for a range of staff including software developers and warehouse staff. There will be jobs at Amazon’s head office in London, as well as in the Edinburgh customer service centre and in three new warehouses. The recruitment will take Amazon’s workforce in the UK to more than 24,000. Doug Gurr, the head of Amazon’s UK business, said: “We are creating thousands of new UK jobs including hundreds of apprenticeship opportunities as we continue to innovate for our customers and provide them with even faster delivery, more selection and better value.” The company is opening three new warehouses, or what it calls “fulfilment centres”, in Tilbury, Doncaster and Daventry. The extra warehouse space will be used to cope with existing growth and to speed-up deliveries. It will also handle deliveries for third-party retailers, who sell through Amazon’s website and use Amazon for deliveries.
Families in the UK are becoming more clean-living, with less money being spent on cigarettes and alcohol, but more being spent on going out to restaurants. But the Family Spending Survey from the Office for National Statistics shows little change in spending overall. In the year to the end of March 2016, families spent an average of £528.90 a week, the same as the previous year. The ONS said growth in consumer confidence had levelled off in 2015-16. The figures show that spending on alcohol and cigarettes continued to fall over the period, to £11.40 a week. At the start of the 2000s, families were typically spending nearly £20 a week on such items.
Company and economic announcements planned for the week commencing 20th February 2017
Internet group Yahoo has reportedly agreed a price cut on its initial $4.8bn (£3.86bn) sale to Verizon. Verizon’s purchase of Yahoo’s core internet arm was put in doubt last year after disclosure of two cyber attacks. Several reports in the US said Yahoo has now accepted a price cut of up to $350m and agreed to share liability with Verizon for potential lawsuits. News of the renegotiated terms was first reported by Bloomberg, which said an announcement could come this week. Verizon wants to combine Yahoo’s search, email and messenger assets, as well as advertising technology tools, with its AOL unit. Verizon bought AOL in 2015 for $4.4bn. Verizon sees mobile video and advertising as new sources of revenue outside an overcrowded US telecoms market.
Nearly a third of the population of Britain is living on an “inadequate” income, according to research by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF). In 2014-15, it said that 19 million people were living on less than the Minimum Income Standard (MIS). It said the problem was that household costs have been rising, while incomes have stagnated. The government has already promised to tackle the issue, after Theresa May identified those “just about managing”. It said it was taking “targeted action” to raise incomes. The MIS is set by experts at Loughborough University, and is based on what members of the public think is a reasonable income to live on. Although the precise level depends on individual circumstances, a single person renting a flat outside London is said to need to earn at least £17,300 a year to reach the MIS. For a working couple with two children, living in social housing, each of the individuals need to earn £18,900 a year.
A bribery settlement and the fall in the pound have pushed engineering giant Rolls-Royce (RR..L) to a record loss. The jet engine maker reported a loss before tax of £4.6bn for 2016. Earlier this year, the company agreed to pay £671m to settle corruption cases with UK and US authorities. As most aerospace deals are done in dollars it was hit hard by the post-Brexit vote slump in the pound, and it has written off £4.4bn from currency related contracts. In its statement, the firm said the outlook for this year was for a “modest performance improvement”, while chief executive Warren East said more needed to be done to improve profit margins. “We must ensure our wide ranging business transformation programme delivers the full benefits expected, not only in terms of cost savings but also the cultural and behavioural changes necessary to ensure the transformation is sustained and high standards of business conduct are maintained,” said Mr East. “These are essential if we are to become a more trusted, resilient company.”
The Co-op Bank says it is putting itself up for sale and is inviting offers to buy all of its shares. It says the sale is something it had always considered as a “potential outcome” of its turnaround plan. The banks says its “customer-led ethical position, attractive product set, multi-channel approach and four million customers constitute a strong franchise with significant potential”. The bank is 20% owned by the wider Co-Operative Group consumer business. Dennis Holt, bank chairman, said: “Customers value the Co-operative Bank and our ethical brand is a point of difference that sets us apart in the market. “While our plan has been impacted by lower for longer interest rates, the costs associated with the sheer scale of the transformation and the legacy issues we faced in 2013, there is considerable potential to build the Bank’s retail franchise further using the strength of the brand, its reputation for strong customer service and distinctive ethical position.” The bank said it needed to build its capital base to meet longer term UK bank regulatory capital requirements, but that its capacity to do so had been constrained by the ongoing impact of low interest rates.
Company and economic announcements planned for the week commencing 13th February 2017
One of Germany’s most senior banking regulators has warned London that it is likely to lose its role as “the gateway to Europe” for vital financial services. Dr Andreas Dombret, executive board member for the German central bank, the Bundesbank, said that even if banking rules were “equivalent” between the UK and the rest of the European Union, that was “miles away from access to the single market”. Mr Dombret’s comments were made at a private meeting of German businesses and banks organised by Boston Consulting Group in Frankfurt earlier this week. They give a clear – and rare – insight into Germany’s approach as Britain starts the process of leaving the European Union. And that approach is hawkish. “The current model of using London as a gateway to Europe is likely to end,” Mr Dombret said at the closed-door event. Mr Dombret made it clear that he did not support a “confrontational approach” to future relations between the UK’s substantial financial services sector and the EU. But he argued there was “intense uncertainty” about how the Brexit negotiations would progress and significant hurdles to overcome. The Bundesbank executive, who is responsible for banking and financial supervision, said he was concerned that the trend towards internationally agreed standards was under pressure. And that Britain might try to become the “Singapore of Europe” following Brexit, by cutting taxes and relaxing financial regulations to encourage banks and businesses to invest in the UK.
The Bank of England says price rises already seen in food and fuel will spread to other goods later this year. In a monthly report of business conditions, the Bank said the cost of manufactured goods would also rise. Companies which made bets to mitigate against last year’s drop in sterling will soon see those bets expire, increasing their costs, it said. However, more exports and “resilient consumer demand” had encouraged more investment, the report said. “So far, the main effect on consumer prices had been higher food and fuel prices,” said the central bank. “But a wider range of goods prices were expected to be affected over the coming year, causing inflation to rise further.” Rising air fares and food prices helped to push up UK inflation to its highest rate since July 2014 in December. The annual rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rose to 1.6%, up from 1.2% in November, according to the Office for National Statistics. And higher costs for imported materials and fuels pushed up producer prices.
MPs have said the government must do more to demonstrate the value for money of green energy schemes which are ultimately paid for by bill payers. The influential Public Accounts Committee (PAC) said it was promised in 2014 an annual report on the impact of these policies on energy bills. But it has not seen once since. The PAC also repeated previous concerns about over-optimistic forecasting in the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS). The government’s Levy Control Framework is supposed to control the cost of three low-carbon generation schemes, funded by levies on energy companies, which consumers pay for through their energy bills. The PAC concluded that the framework had “suffered from a lack of transparency, rigour and accountability” and the forecasting of its costs had been poor.
Ministers will admit England’s housing market is “broken” as they unveil new plans to build more affordable homes. The government says 250,000 new homes are needed each year and has admitted it is lagging behind schedule. The new housing strategy for England includes forcing councils to plan for their local housing needs and giving them powers to pressure developers to start building on land they own. Labour accused the government of “seven years of failure” on housing. Communities Secretary Sajid Javid will set out the details of the housing White Paper in a statement to MPs.
Volkswagen faces its first legal action in Germany from a big corporate client over the diesel emissions scandal. Deutsche See, which leases 500 vehicles from VW, said it had been unable to reach an out-of-court settlement, Reuters news agency reported. VW is involved in numerous lawsuits from individual owners, regulators, states and dealers, many of them class-action cases in the US. Deutsche See is one of Germany’s major fish and seafood producers. The business promotes itself as environmentally friendly, and in 2010 won an award for being Germany’s “most sustainable company”. “Deutsche See only went into partnership with VW because VW promised the most environmentally friendly, sustainable mobility concept,” said a statement from the company. German media reported that Deutsche See filed its complaint for “malicious deception” at the regional court in Braunschweig, near Volkswagen’s Wolfsburg headquarters. VW on Sunday declined to comment on the reports. Volkswagen admitted in September 2015 that it had used software to cheat diesel-emissions tests in the US. The company is now embroiled in investigations across the world, and will have to spend a huge amount of money to settle claims and put the engines right. The cost of settlements and fines in the US alone are approaching $20bn.
Snap, the owner of messaging app Snapchat, has publicly filed plans to sell its shares on the US stock market. The California-based tech firm, which allows users to send images that vanish within seconds, is set to be the biggest company to list shares in the US in recent years. Based on previous investments, Snap would be worth between $20bn and $25bn. The company revealed in the documents that it made sales of $404m last year, but a loss of $515m. The company began in 2011 when co-founder, 26-year-old Evan Spiegel, was still at university. It now has nearly 160 million daily users and last year revenues grew by nearly 600%, the listing documents revealed.
Company and economic announcements planned for the week commencing 6th February 2017
A US court has ordered Facebook and other defendants to pay $500m (£395m) after finding they unlawfully used a firm’s virtual reality technology. The jury found Oculus, which Facebook bought in 2014, used computer code belonging to video game developer Zenimax to launch its own VR headset. Oculus said it was “disappointed” and would appeal against the ruling. The case threatened to overshadow Facebook’s latest results, which showed it enjoyed a strong end to the year. Facebook’s net profit more than doubled to $3.6bn in the fourth quarter. The social network was helped by 53% growth in advertising revenues, and said it was on course to hit two billion users in the first half of 2017.
Passengers using cross-country train routes could theoretically save up to £260 a journey, under a trial scheme to simplify fares. The Rail Delivery Group (RDG), which represents train operators, says the 16 million fares currently on offer are “baffling” for passengers. It wants to ensure passengers are offered the cheapest possible fares. The trial from May will particularly benefit people travelling between Scotland and south-west England. A traveller buying an off-peak return from Wick, in northern Scotland, to Par, in Cornwall, can currently pay up to £342.50, although in practice few people pay that amount. However, by buying six separate fares for each leg of the journey, passengers can pay as little as £80 for the same trip. The RDG says the potential saving of £262 will soon be offered to customers automatically. CrossCountry Trains, an operator taking part in the trials, may eventually offer savings on other routes as well.
Deutsche Bank has been fined $630m (£504m) by US and UK regulators in connection with a Russian money laundering plan. Under the scheme, clients illegally moved $10bn out of Russia via shares bought and sold through the bank’s Moscow, London and New York offices. Authorities said Deutsche had missed “numerous opportunities” to detect, investigate and stop the scheme. Deutsche Bank said it was co-operating with regulators. It also said it had put aside money to cover the cost of the settlement. During the investigation, New York authorities and Britain’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) found that so called “mirror” trades had been carried out through the bank between 2011 and 2015. Clients would purchase stocks in roubles in Moscow before their counterparts sold the same stock at the same price through the bank’s London branch.
Volkswagen has overtaken Toyota to become the world’s best-selling carmaker, the first time the German company has held the position. Japan’s Toyota, which had topped sales for the past four years, sold 10.175 million vehicles globally in 2016. That fell short of the 10.31 million sales which VW reported last week. The milestone comes despite VW’s scandal over emissions tests cheating, which sparked a global backlash and multiple lawsuits. Volkswagen, which makes the Audi, Porsche and Skoda brands, saw a 3.8% increase in sales buoyed by demand in China.
The UK’s biggest supermarket group, Tesco (TSCO.L), has agreed to buy UK’s biggest food wholesaler, Booker Group (BOK.L), in a £3.7bn deal. The firms said the deal would create the “UK’s leading food business”. They added that combining the companies would bring benefits for “consumers, independent retailers, caterers, small businesses, suppliers, and colleagues”. Under the terms of the deal, Booker shareholders will end up owning about 16% of the combined group. “Tesco has made significant progress in turning around our UK retail business,” said Tesco chief executive Dave Lewis. “This merger with Booker will further enhance Tesco’s growth prospects by creating the UK’s leading food business with combined expertise in retail, wholesale, supply chain and digital.”
Company and economic announcements planned for the week commencing 30th January 2017
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) has set aside a further $3.8bn (£3.1bn) to cover fines in the US, the bank has said. The provision is for an expected penalty linked to the bank’s role in selling risky mortgages prior to the 2008 financial crisis. RBS has now put a total of £6.7bn aside to cover litigation by the US Department of Justice. The latest move will plunge the bank, which is 72%-owned by the taxpayer, further into debt.
Investment in the UK’s automotive industry fell in 2016 after several years of strong growth, according to the head of the industry’s trade body. Some investment decisions are also on hold until there is clarity about the UK’s post-Brexit trading arrangements. Mike Hawes, chief executive of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, was giving evidence to the Treasury Committee on Tuesday. He told MPs that investment appears to be falling back. “We are putting together the data as best we can,” he said. “But I sense certainly that the amount invested over the last 12 months will not be as high as the preceding one, two, three years.” He said that despite the decision taken by Nissan in the autumn to build two new models at its Sunderland plant, other companies appeared to be holding off key decisions. “Certainly, I believe that companies are at least sitting on their hands… until there is a bit more clarity,” he said. UK car production has grown sharply in recent years on the back of record investment.
Australia and New Zealand say they are hopeful of pressing ahead with the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal, despite America’s formal withdrawal. The US-led, 12-nation agreement was set to cover 40% of the world’s economic output. Pulling out of the TPP was one of Mr Trump’s first executive orders and fulfils a long-held campaign promise. Australia has already devised a name for a possible new agreement: TPP 12 Minus One. The country’s trade minister Steve Ciobo said Australia would not abandon the TPP just because it would require “a little bit of elbow grease” to keep it alive. The trade agreement was negotiated by former US President Barack Obama and was aimed at deepening economic ties between member countries, including Japan, Malaysia, Vietnam, Singapore, Brunei, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Mexico, Chile and Peru.
The prime minister is to unveil a new, more interventionist, industrial strategy on Monday, designed to boost the post-Brexit UK economy. The government will be “stepping up to a new, active role”, Mrs May said. She will launch the new strategy at her first regional cabinet meeting, to be held in the north-west of England. Business leaders welcomed the plan which will focus on “sector deals” in areas such as life sciences and low-emission vehicles. A green paper will set out ways the government can provide support to businesses by addressing regulatory barriers, agreeing trade deals and helping to establish institutions that encourage innovation and skills development.
China’s economy grew by 6.7% in 2016, compared with 6.9% a year earlier, according to official data, marking its slowest growth since 1990. The figure is in line with Beijing’s growth target of between 6.5% and 7%. But the news comes just a couple of days after the leader of one Chinese region admitted GDP data was faked. China is a key driver of the global economy and a growth slowdown is a major concern for investors around the world.
Company and economic announcements planned for the week commencing 23rd January 2017
The head of the International Monetary Fund has warned the UK there is still likely to be “pain” ahead as Theresa May prepares to trigger the UK’s departure from the European Union. She said that although the UK economy had performed more strongly than the IMF had predicted, uncertainty over the terms of the deal “is always a risk”. Any deal with the EU will “not be as good” as membership, she said. “When you belong to a club, whatever that is, the members of the club have a degree of affinity and particular terms under which they operate,” Ms Lagarde told me at the World Economic Forum in Davos. “Someone outside the club has different access.” I asked her if she agreed with the Prime Minister of Malta, Joseph Muscat, that any future UK/EU agreement “necessarily needs to be inferior to membership”. Malta presently holds the rotating presidency of the EU.